Madison Keys vs Polona Hercog Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
M. Keys vs P. Hercog
Madison Keys
USA
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
30
Age
34
1.78m
Height
1.85m
7
C. Rank
882
5
Best Rank
35
11
Total Titles
3
2
YTD Titles
0
$20.8M
Career Money
$2.4M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Polona Hercog
SLO
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
l
l
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
30
Age
34
1.78m
Height
1.85m
7
C. Rank
882
5
Best Rank
35
11
Total Titles
3
2
YTD Titles
0
$20.8M
Career Money
$2.4M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Head-to-head: Keys 1 - 1 Hercog
They have played 4 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 2 and Polona Hercog winning 2. The last match between Polona Hercog and Madison Keys was at the Wimbledon - London, 03-07-2019, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Polona Hercog getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Keys | 1 |
| Hercog | 1 |
Last 2 H2H Matches:
(R2) Wimbledon - London(07-03-19)
Polona Hercog
6
6
Madison Keys
2
4
(R1) Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome(05-13-19)
Madison Keys
6
7
Polona Hercog
4
6
M. Keys vs P. Hercog H2H Profile
M. Keys vs P. Hercog Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Madison Keys has won 40.91% of points on their second serve, while Polona Hercog has won 44.77%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Madison Keys, in recent form, has won 49.23% of their opponent's second serve points, while Polona Hercog has won 47.94%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.81% and 30.86% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Madison Keys has saved 55.90% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Polona Hercog has saved 45.00% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Madison Keys has won 71.15% of matches played (W/L 37/15), with Polona Hercog winning 30.00% (W/L 3/7) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 17/17). Polona Hercog has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 317/152), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 44% (W/L 114/144).
- Player level: In the last year, Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 63.64% of matches (W/L 14/8), where as Polona Hercog has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 37.50% of matches (W/L 3/5). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Madison Keys winning 1 times and Polona Hercog being victorious 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 2 and Polona Hercog winning 2.
- The last match between Madison Keys and Polona Hercog was at the Wimbledon - London, 03-07-2019, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Polona Hercog getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:24:40.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Madison Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 48.08 while Polona Hercog has played against players with an average rank of 266.7.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Madison Keys has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Polona Hercog has won 33% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Madison Keys has converted 38.35% of breakpoint opportunities, and Polona Hercog has converted 35.48% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Madison Keys vs Polona Hercog Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
M. Keys vs P. Hercog H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 1 |
| 2 | Sets Won | 2 |
| 19 | Games Won | 22 |
| 8 | Aces (Total) | 1 |
| 6 | Total Double Faults | 6 |
| 1:24:40 | Average Match Time | 1:24:40 |
| 60% (73/122) | 1st Serve % | 64% (87/135) |
| 70% (51/73) | 1st Serve Win % | 60% (52/87) |
| 47% (23/49) | 2nd Serve Win % | 56% (27/48) |
| 29% (4/14) | Break Pts Won % | 46% (6/13) |
| 41% (56/135) | Return Points Win % | 39% (48/122) |
| 50% (1/2) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 50% (1/2) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (1/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Keys 47%, Hercog 45%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Keys 54%, Hercog 50%.
Break Points Saved %: Keys 58%, Hercog 48%.
M. Keys Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025 | ||||
Robin Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova | L | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
Robin  Iga SwiatekI. Swiatek | L | 6-1 6-2 | ||
 U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R1  Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua | L | 6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5 | ||
| Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025 | ||||
R4  Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina | L | 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 | ||
R3  Aoi ItoA. Ito | W | 6-4 6-0 | ||
P. Hercog Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucuman Open - Tucuman - 03-11-2025 | ||||
R1  Mayar SherifM. Sherif | L | 7-6(4) 7-6(6) | ||
| Cali Open - Cali - 27-10-2025 | ||||
R1  Tina Nadine SmithT. Nadine | L | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Engie Open - Florianopolis - 20-10-2025 | ||||
R1  Julia RieraJ. Riera | L | 6-7(2) 6-4 6-2 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
Q1  Tessah AndrianjafitrimoT. Andrianjafitrimo | L | 5-7 6-2 6-4 | ||
| W50 Ourense - 04-08-2025 | ||||
SF  Polina IatcenkoP. Iatcenko | L | 6-4 6-1 | ||
M. Keys vs P. Hercog Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 64.27% (421/234) | YTD Win/Loss | 57.63% (476/350) |
| 62.25% (935/567) | Sets Win/Loss | 56.13% (1058/827) |
| 54.63% (7694/6389) | Games Win/Loss | 52.55% (9058/8178) |
| 64.12% (252/141) | Hard Win/Loss | 44.19% (114/144) |
| 64.47% (98/54) | Clay Win/Loss | 67.59% (317/152) |
| 50.00% (17/17) | Indoor Hard W/L | 44.00% (22/28) |
| 71.05% (54/22) | Grass Win/Loss | 46.94% (23/26) |
| 0.42 | Aces Per Game | 0.21 |
| 2893 | Aces Total | 1780 |
| 0.21 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.25 |
| 1416 | Total Double Faults | 2094 |
| 1:19:25 | Average Match Time | 1:11:42 |
| 353.74 | Average Opponent Rank | 478.31 |
| 63% (25508/40424) | 1st Serve % | 60% (26861/44782) |
| 69% (17495/25508) | 1st Serve Win % | 65% (17363/26861) |
| 48% (7162/14899) | 2nd Serve Win % | 47% (8508/17916) |
| 44% (2121/4838) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 48% (2450/5157) |
| 43% (18091/41631) | Return Points Win % | 43% (19661/45293) |
| 70.86% (124/51) | Slam W/L | 40.22% (37/55) |
| 55.77% (116/92) | Masters W/L | 51.94% (67/62) |
| 44.44% (4/5) | Cups W/L | 53.85% (7/6) |
| 66.32% (126/64) | Main Tour W/L | 51.54% (151/142) |
| 64.91% (37/20) | Challenger W/L | 70.19% (186/79) |
| 87.50% (14/2) | Futures W/L | 82.35% (28/6) |
| 65% (417/643) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 57% (465/811) |
| 25% (1/4) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 100% (2/2) |
| 58% (102/177) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 52% (90/173) |
| 53% (104/197) | Deciding Set Win % | 53% (129/244) |
| 87% (426/369) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 85% (471/402) |
| 13% (426/56) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 14% (471/66) |
| 22% (229/51) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 20% (355/71) |
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